I am sure I’m not that different from many others when I ask the simple question, what happened? How did the banks get into such a mess? What didn’t they see, and what regulation failed? Was the reserve ratio that the federal reserve demands too low? Did debt move from regulated to unregulated, and if so, why would that have caused a failure of regulated banks? How is it that the vast amount of debt went unrecorded until recently? And what are we doing wrong now?
The New York Times offers a new insight into what had happened. According to this article, a decision in 2004 by the SEC, headed by William Donaldson at the time, permitted banks to exceed the reserve ratio in their investment houses, and money seemingly flew freely between the two. There was meant to be oversight of the banks’ health at the time, but that oversight never happened.
Why did the banks seek this change in 2004? They did not believe they could compete against the large investment houses with so much money tied up in case of a credit crunch. Put another way, we forgot some of the lessons of the 1920s.
And so it’s now obvious to all. President Bush has not only presided over the worst financial debacle since the Great Depression, but he and his team failed to learn from the mistakes of that era, making him worse than President Hoover, in my book.
What do we need to do to fix the problems? Some of it has already happened. Banks have become very conservative, and perhaps are leaning too far: it’s very hard to tell when the country is teetering on a recession. Some of that conservative nature needs to be codified by reversing the 2004 decision or requiring investment houses to meet the reserve ratio. In order to figure out which we have to question whether or not we can let a large investment house fail. If we cannot, then more regulation is appropriate. One way to split the baby is to require regulation of total assets and debt above a certain number, say the $5 billion talked about in the article.
Yesterday, the Bush Administration released a long awaited report by the Environmental Protection Agency, that says that Carbon Dioxide can and should be regulated. One would think this a remarkable departure for an administration that has done everything within its power to destroy the environment, through drilling in fragile environmental areas, unmitigated logging, and the failure to protect endangered species. There’s a catch: the Supreme Court ordered the EPA to develop the report, and in releasing it, in the same breath, the administration argued that regulation by the EPA to protect our children will hurt business and industrial growth.
Let’s review our tally for this administration:
- Housing — Failure to properly regulate the housing market has led to a massive series of bank failures.
- The Energy Market — we are suffering from inflation due to a massive increase in oil prices, which itself is in part due to an inability of Americans to conserve. The administration has done absolutely nothing to reduce consumption, or for that matter offer fuel alternatives. Instead, they’ve argued that drilling in wilderness refuges will offer some form of relief, a claim that is disputed by every expert in the field, because it will offer no short term relief, while medium and long term relief are by no means at all assured.
- Security— having gone to war twice and wasted billions of dollars on meaningless programs, the administration has managed to alienate America from the rest of the world, reducing people’s desires to visit, impacting tourism, and reducing our national credibility. At the same time the Taliban has rebuilt itself, and we’ve lost our allies in Pakistan and now, seemingly Iraq (not that Prime Minister Maliki was every clearly an ally).
- Education— No Child Left Behind has meant that our children haven’t gone forward as a group. Our public education system remains in a shambles due to lack of incentives for good teachers, buildings that are falling apart, and a general willingness by this administration to divert funds to religious programs.
- Public Transportation— our skies are more dangerous than they have been since the creation of the FAA. More runway incursions, more close calls in the air, disgruntled workforces, and disgruntled passengers have left our air transportation system in a mess, while we’ve invested nearly nothing in ground public transport.
- Public Welfare— with a remarkably lame response to Hurricane Katrina, the administration demonstrated that they could not be trusted with emergency crisis management.
In short, they did nothing except collect pay checks. Perhaps Americans will pay more attention to our civic responsibilities the next time we hand someone the keys.